Thursday, January 18, 2007

Who's in trouble, who's not?

It's that time of year, when fans of TV shows hold hands and try to figure out what, exactly, will be back next season.

Well, fear no more. SDD is on the case, and we're going to take our best guess at what's coming back on every broadcast network.

Please note that we have no inside information. All of this is based on critical buzz and ratings performance.

ABC:

Will be back:
20/20
Boston Legal
Brothers & Sisters
Dancing with the Stars
Desperate Housewives
Extreme Makeover: Home Edition
Grey's Anatomy
Lost
Primetime
Ugly Betty

Probably back:
America's Funniest Home Videos
Men in Trees
Supernanny
Wife Swap

On the bubble:
According to Jim
The George Lopez Show
Knights of Prosperity (ABC will want to keep one comedy, and this may be it despite anemic performance)

Probably won't be back:
In Case of Emergency
What About Brian?

Canceled (if not officially, then almost certainly):
Big Day
Help Me Help You
The Nine
Show Me the Money
Six Degrees

Yet to air:
Notes from the Underbelly (probably March)
October Road (probably March or April)
Traveler (probably March)

All in all, ABC has had a strong fall. The 14 shows in the top two categories are all good building blocks, and I have high hopes that Traveler will join their ranks and possibly Underbelly, which looks good for the post-Dancing with the Stars slot in March. Then again, I thought The Nine would be the hit of the fall, so grain of salt.

CBS:

Already renewed:
Survivor

Will be back:
60 Minutes
The Amazing Race
Close to Home
Cold Case
Criminal Minds
CSI
CSI: Miami
CSI: New York
Ghost Whisperer
Jericho
NCIS
Two-and-a-Half Men
Without a Trace

Probably back:
How I Met Your Mother
The New Adventures of Old Christine
Numb3rs
Shark
The Unit

On the bubble:
The Class

Probably won't be back:

Canceled (if not officially, then almost certainly):
3 Lbs.
Smith

Yet to air:
Rules of Engagement (February)

Honestly, I don't know what to say. Some things that would be sure renewals on, say, ABC (HIMYM and Christine in particular) are in a lower category just because the network is so strong. I should probably bump everything down one category, just because they'll need to cancel SOMEthing, but since they solved their persistent Wednesday at 8 problems AND fixed Sunday nights, I guess there's really not a lot left. The Class is almost certainly gone, leaving room for one comedy, and the Tuesdays at 10 sore spot remains, but other than that, this is one of the most dominant networks ever, fueled entirely by an appetite for crime and smarmy laughs.

The CW

Back if they want to be/gone if they want to be:
Gilmore Girls

Will be back:
America's Next Top Model
Beauty and the Geek
Everybody Hates Chris
Friday Night Smackdown
Smallville (for what will likely be its final season)

Probably back:
Girlfriends
Reba

On the bubble:
All of Us
The Game
One Tree Hill
Supernatural (should bump this up a slot, but the tough time slot has been murder)
Veronica Mars

Probably won't be back:
7th Heaven

Canceled (if not officially, then almost certainly):
Runaway

Yet to air:
Hidden Palms (March)
The Search for the Next Pussycat Doll (who knows?)

This network's launch was a big mess. When you consider that two of the shows in the "will be back" slot share a time slot and alternate throughout the year, you see just how much things are screwed up at The CW. If there's going to be a network that renews ALL of its on the bubble shows, it'll be this one. More hope for we Veronica Mars fans! Hidden Palms is the great white hope at the moment, but it'll be up against the Dancing with the Stars results show and House when it debuts, so that'll be a problem.

Fox:

Already renewed:
The Simpsons

Will be back:
24
American Dad
American Idol
Family Guy
House
King of the Hill (I recall reading that this had officially been picked up but can't find the press release)
Prison Break

Probably back:
Bones
Nanny 911!
Trading Spouses

On the bubble:
The War at Home
Til Death

Probably won't be back:
Standoff

Canceled (if not officially, then almost certainly):
Happy Hour
Justice
The O.C.
Vanished

Yet to air:
Drive (April)
The Loop (2nd season) (unknown -- and I don't have high hopes, sadly)
On the Lot (May probably)
Wedding Bells (March)
The Winner (March)

Fox continues its weird, schizophrenic performance. Its inability to launch a single new show this fall that stuck is a sore spot, to be sure, and they're going to try to make Til Death a hit by sticking it after American Idol. Other than that, this year has been something of a wash for Fox, though you wouldn't know it, as American Idol came back, strong as ever. I'm unclear on the status of the animated shows, which are renewed earlier than live action shows, so if you have corrections for me on those, please let me know in the comments. Also remember that Futurama will be back sometime next season, and Fox can air the new episodes if they so choose.

NBC:

Already renewed:
The Apprentice (though a summer burnoff seems likely)
ER
Football Night in America
Heroes
Law & Order: SVU
My Name Is Earl
The Office
Sunday Night Football

Will be back:
1 Vs. 100
Dateline
Deal or No Deal
Scrubs (though it could migrate to ABC if too expensive)

Probably back:
The Biggest Loser
Identity
Law & Order
You're the One That I Want (but how do you do season two?)

On the bubble:
30 Rock
Friday Night Lights
Las Vegas
Law and Order: Criminal Intent
Medium

Probably won't be back:
Crossing Jordan
Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip

Canceled (if not officially, then almost certainly):
Kidnapped
Twenty Good Years

Yet to air:
Andy Barker: PI (who knows?)
The Black Donnellys (March)
Raines (March)
The Singles Table (who knows?)

NBC is decidedly more ambiguous. Heroes and football have bought them a measure of breathing room, but they're still in trouble all over the place. That's what leads me to believe a lot of their on-the-bubble shows could be back. I'm not as optimistic for Studio 60, which is really expensive. But who knows? The show could suddenly become a huge hit.

Anyway, if I've missed something, please let me know in the comments.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Not very helpful as I have no link, but I could swear I just read that Fox just gave a new contract to Seth McFarland that included more American Dad.

Daniel said...

Is there a pretty good chance that 30 Rock will get canceled? =(

Todd VanDerWerff said...

Thanks, Tosy. I sort of suspected that was the case. I'll bump it up to "will be back" for now until I see the press release.

Dan'l, I actually expect to see 30 Rock on NBC next season.